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China is going to win


was terrifying for China. After the outbreak of the coronavirus began in China, the Communist Party of China first tried to suppress everything. Many again refer to it as China's "Chernobyl", meaning that the Chernobyl nuclear accident, which accelerated the collapse of the Soviet Union, would do the same in China. The Chinese government quickly began an unprecedented lockdown after making some early mistakes. It seems to have worked. The rate of new patient identification has dropped drastically. The country's mill factories have begun to open. Researchers are experimenting with the vaccine. The disease spread to the United States and Europe. In China, the outbreak of the outbreak came to a close, but Britain, France, Italy and the United States outnumbered him.

China sees this as a victory. The country's massive media campaign is propagating that China has brought the epidemic under control, and its achievements deserve the country's one-party rule. Now the country is saying that they are showing generosity by sending medical kits and medical supplies all over the world. From the first week of March to the middle of April, they exported 100 million masks. In the sacrifices they made, the rest of the world found time to prepare. If Western countries are wasting this opportunity, it is their failure.


Many, including observers of the dreaded foreign policy in the West, have begun to say that China will come out victorious. They warn that the disaster will not only be described as a humanitarian disaster, but also that the geopolitical center will be identified as a retreat from the United States, known as the Era.


This view has been adopted for a very natural reason. US President Donald Trump does not seem to have a point in his leadership. But previous US presidents have led the global war on HIV / Ebola. And Trump, meanwhile, has announced a stop funding to the World Health Organization (WHO). Trump alleged that the WHO was biased toward China. The thing is, Trump standing in the White House will demand 'ultimate power' on the one hand and say, 'I will not take charge at all'; This situation has opened the door for China to expand its influence.

But it may not be successful. The reason is that there is no way to know whether China's success is exactly what it claims it is. And it is even more difficult to say whether they have been able to cope so well with democratic countries like South Korea and Taiwan. It is not possible for outsiders to say whether Chinese government officials are giving real information. Again the authoritarian government can forcefully keep the factory open, but it cannot force people to buy goods. As soon as the epidemic catastrophizes, it will be difficult to say whether people will blame them for hiding the disease in China, or blaming China for suppressing the doctor who first mentioned the disease.

The rich countries are again skeptical of China's intentions. Margaret Vestaz, head of the European Union's competition department, called on European governments to buy out the stake of strategically important institutions. Otherwise, China will buy the stake of those companies cheaply in this crisis. On a larger scale, the pandemic has created the argument that it will not be right for any country to rely on China for vital products and services, be it ventilators or 3G networks. The World Trade Organization estimates that World Trade will decrease by 8 to 12 percent in the short term. And if it is a matter of turning away from globalization in the long run, then China, like everyone else, will suffer, even though the crisis has already begun before Kovid-I.

But more importantly, whether or not other countries want China as a US alternative; Whether China wants it itself or not. Certainly China will not try to assimilate the ability of the United States, that is, to build a vast network of allies like the United States, from diplomatic power to building institutions like Google, the Harvard and the Gates Foundation, as the United States engages in all the crises of the world after World War II. No

The role China plays in the Covid-I vaccine innovation can be understood from its high level. If they can quickly vaccinate, that success will be a national victory. And it will be a global cooperation platform. Another test is how he plays a role in the debt relief of poor countries. On April 7, G-20-hit countries, including China, agreed to postpone indebtedness for the indebted countries for eight months. In the past, China usually negotiated a bribe on debt, bilaterally to gain political advantage. If the G-20 decision implies that China wants to go about cooperating with other lenders and be more generous, it would imply that he is willing to spend more money to land a new role.

The fact is, China is more interested in taking the lead than it is in making sure that no one else can help. He wants to weaken the dollar's position as an international reserve currency. China is also trying to deploy diplomats in various international organizations. The goal is to ensure their impact in the globalization of human rights and Internet governance. Now that Trump has shown the World Health Organization to China, China has a chance to identify itself.



Chinese leaders have ambitions. At the same time, they are careful again, because they have to govern a huge country of 100 million people. They do not have to formulate a systematic global system from zero. They will probably want to push the rocky foundations of the US-made system to ensure that its emergence is free.

It's not easy. The epidemic has to be tackled globally, just as climate change and crime have to be dealt with. We have seen in the 1920s what happens when the powers are selfish. They then tried to take advantage of others' disadvantages. As much as Covid-1 has created visionary magnificence, it has created competition for profit. Trump is responsible for today's situation, but if China behaves as cool as might, then it is not a victory, but a tragedy.

: Symbol enhancement , summarized

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